The long-term prognosis in people with recent onset low back pain from emergency departments: an inception cohort study

Low back pain (LBP) is the world's leading cause of disability and has a high socioeconomic impact 19. The clinical course of recent-onset LBP is widely reported as favorable regarding pain and disability 9. A systematic review 9 provides evidence that most LBP episodes improve substantially within six weeks and have low group mean scores for pain and disability within one year 9. However, most studies investigating the course of recent-onset LBP included only patients from primary-care practices 8, 17, 21, 36.

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