Objective The extent to which pain-related expectations, known to affect pain perception, also affect perception of nonpainful sensations remains unclear, as well as the potential role of unpredictability in this context. Methods In a proprioceptive fear conditioning paradigm, various arm extension movements were associated with predictable and unpredictable electrocutaneous pain or its absence. During a subsequent test phase, nonpainful electrocutaneous stimuli with a high or low intensity were presented during movement execution. We used hierarchical drift diffusion modeling to examine the influence of expecting pain on the perceptual decision-making process underlying intensity perception of nonpainful sensations. In the first experiment (n = 36), the pain stimulus was never presented during the test phase after conditioning. In the second experiment (n = 39), partial reinforcement was adopted to prevent extinction of pain expectations. Results In both experiments, movements that were associated with (un)predictable pain led to higher pain expectancy, self-reported fear, unpleasantness, and arousal as compared with movements that were never paired with pain (effect sizes η2p ranging from 0.119 to 0.557; all p values < .05). Only in the second experiment—when the threat of pain remained present—we found that the expectation of pain affected decision making. Compared with the no pain condition, an a priori decision-making bias toward the high-intensity decision threshold was found with the strongest bias during unpredictable pain (effect sizes η2p ranging from 0.469 to 0.504; all p-values < .001). Conclusions Thus, the expectation of pain affects inferential processes not only for subsequent painful but also for nonpainful bodily stimuli, with unpredictability moderating these effects, and only when the threat of pain remains present due to partial reinforcement.
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